MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Pepito' slightly accelerates while moving west-nortwestward towards Northern - Central Luzon area, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am bulletin on Tuesday, October 20, 2020.
At 4:00 am today, the center of Tropical Depression 'Pepito' was estimated based on all available data at 440 km East of Infanta, Quezon.
SEE ALSO: #WalangPasok: Class suspensions, Wednesday, October 21, 2020
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At 4:00 am today, the center of Tropical Depression 'Pepito' was estimated based on all available data at 440 km East of Infanta, Quezon.
SEE ALSO: #WalangPasok: Class suspensions, Wednesday, October 21, 2020
'Bagyong Pepito' has maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 km/h. It is moving West Northwestward at 25 km/h.
The center of this tropical cyclone is forecast to make landfall over the coast of Aurora-Isabela area tonight, cross the Luzon landmass, and emerge over the West Philippine Sea tomorrow morning.
'Pepito' may reach tropical storm category before making landfall. However, there remains a possibility that this tropical cyclone makes landfall as a tropical depression. After crossing the landmass of Luzon, it is forecast to intensify and may reach severe tropical storm category by Thursday.
Forecast Positions
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS #1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Impacts of the wind
Hazards affecting land
Rainfall: Today, 'Pepito' will bring moderate to heavy rains over Bicol Region, Marinduque, Romblon, Quezon, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Isabela, mainland Cagayan, Pangasinan, and Benguet.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains will be experienced over Metro Manila, Cordillera Administrative Region, MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, Northern Mindanao, and the rest of Ilocos Region, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA.
Flooding (including flashfloods) and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue local thunderstorm/rainfall advisories and heavy rainfall warnings as appropriate.
Winds: High winds (strong to near gale) will be experienced in areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #1.
High winds to gale-force winds with occasional gusts due to the northeasterly surface wind flow will be experienced over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and the coastal and/or mountainous areas of mainland Cagayan, Apayao, and Ilocos Norte.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
Gale Warning is in effect over the seaboards of Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Ilocos Norte and Ilocos Sur due to rough to very rough seas (2.8 to 5.0 m).
Moreover, the seaboards of areas under TCWS #1 will also experience rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 4.5 m). Sea travel is risky over these areas, especially for those using small seacrafts.
Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 3.0 m) will prevail over the western and eastern seaboards of Southern Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Eastern Visayas, Caraga, and Davao Region.
Those with small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
— The Summit Express
The center of this tropical cyclone is forecast to make landfall over the coast of Aurora-Isabela area tonight, cross the Luzon landmass, and emerge over the West Philippine Sea tomorrow morning.
'Pepito' may reach tropical storm category before making landfall. However, there remains a possibility that this tropical cyclone makes landfall as a tropical depression. After crossing the landmass of Luzon, it is forecast to intensify and may reach severe tropical storm category by Thursday.
Forecast Positions
- 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 15 km West Northwest of Dagupan City, Pangasinan
- 48 Hour (Thursday morning):430 km West of Dagupan City, Pangasinan
- 72 Hour (Friday morning): 605 km West of Dagupan City, Pangasinan (OUTSIDE PAR)
- 96 Hour (Saturday morning):825 km West of Dagupan City, Pangasinan (OUTSIDE PAR)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS #1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
- Isabela
- Quirino
- Nueva Vizcaya
- Abra
- Kalinga
- Mountain Province
- Ifugao
- Benguet
- Ilocos Sur
- La Union
- Pangasinan
- Aurora
- Nueva Ecija
- Tarlac
- Zambales
- Bulacan
- Pampanga
- Bataan
- Metro Manila
- Rizal
- northern portion of Quezon (General Nakar, Infanta, Real) including Polillo Islands
- extreme northern portion of Camarines Norte (Vinzons)
- Catanduanes
Impacts of the wind
- Very light or no damage to low risk structures
- Light damage to medium to high risk structures
- Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
- Twigs of small trees may be broken.
- Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Hazards affecting land
Rainfall: Today, 'Pepito' will bring moderate to heavy rains over Bicol Region, Marinduque, Romblon, Quezon, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Isabela, mainland Cagayan, Pangasinan, and Benguet.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains will be experienced over Metro Manila, Cordillera Administrative Region, MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, Northern Mindanao, and the rest of Ilocos Region, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA.
Flooding (including flashfloods) and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue local thunderstorm/rainfall advisories and heavy rainfall warnings as appropriate.
Winds: High winds (strong to near gale) will be experienced in areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #1.
High winds to gale-force winds with occasional gusts due to the northeasterly surface wind flow will be experienced over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and the coastal and/or mountainous areas of mainland Cagayan, Apayao, and Ilocos Norte.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
Gale Warning is in effect over the seaboards of Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Ilocos Norte and Ilocos Sur due to rough to very rough seas (2.8 to 5.0 m).
Moreover, the seaboards of areas under TCWS #1 will also experience rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 4.5 m). Sea travel is risky over these areas, especially for those using small seacrafts.
Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 3.0 m) will prevail over the western and eastern seaboards of Southern Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Eastern Visayas, Caraga, and Davao Region.
Those with small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
— The Summit Express
