'Bagyong Ofel' PAGASA weather update October 15, 2020

MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Ofel' has left the landmass of Luzon and expected to weaken into a Low Pressure Area within the next 12 to 24 hours over the West Philippine Sea, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in a bulletin issued at 5:00 am on Thursday, October 15, 2020.

'Bagyong Ofel' PAGASA weather update October 15, 2020

At 4:00 am today, the center of Tropical Depression 'Ofel' was estimated based on all available data over the coastal waters of Lubang, Occidental Mindoro.

'Bagyong Ofel' has maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 55 km/h. It is moving West Northwestward at 20 km/h.

Forecast Position
  • 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 770 km West of Iba, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)

'Bagyong Ofel' PAGASA weather update October 15, 2020


TCWS#1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
  • Batangas
  • Laguna
  • Cavite
  • Rizal
  • northern and central portions of Quezon (Real, Mauban, Sampaloc, Tayabas City, Pagbilao, Lucban, Lucena City, Sariaya, Candelaria, Tiaong, Dolores, San Antonio, General Nakar, Infanta), Metro Manila, Bataan, the northern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Mamburao, Abra de Ilog, Paluan, Santa Cruz)
  • northern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Puerto Galera, San Teodoro, Baco, Naujan, Naujan Lake, Victoria, Calapan City)

Hazards affecting land areas

Rainfall: Today, light to moderate with at times heavy rains over mainland Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, and Central Luzon due to 'Ofel' and over Occidental Mindoro and Palawan including Calamian, Cuyo, and Kalayaan Islands due to Southwest Monsoon.

Flooding (including flashfloods) and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue local thunderstorm/rainfall advisories and heavy rainfall warnings as appropriate.

Winds: Strong-force winds will be experienced in areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #1 during the passage of the tropical depression. Details of potential wind damage can be found on the TCWS section of this bulletin.

Gusty conditions associated with the northeasterly surface wind flow may be experienced over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Cordillera Administrative Region, Aurora, and the coastal and mountainous areas of Ilocos Norte and mainland Cagayan Valley.

Hazards affecting coastal waters

Gale Warning is in effect over the entire seaboard of Northern Luzon and the seaboard of Aurora due to rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 4.5 m) associated with the northeasterly surface wind flow. Sea travel is risky over these areas, especially for those using small seacrafts.

Moderate to rough seas (2.1 to 3.5 m) due to 'Ofel' will be experienced over the seaboards of areas where TCWS #1 is in effect, and the seaboards of Zambales and Polillo Islands. Those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out to sea over these areas.

— The Summit Express

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