'Bagyong Ofel' PAGASA weather update October 14, 2020

MANILA, Philippines –'Bagyong Ofel' continues to move westward towards Marinduque - Romblon area while maintaining its strength, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 p.m. bulletin on Wednesday, October 14, 2020.

'Bagyong Ofel' PAGASA weather update October 14, 2020

Earlier, tropical depression Ofel made landfall over Can-avid, Eastern Samar at 2:30 am; Matnog, Sorsogon at 6:00 am; and Burias Island, Masbate 12:00 pm.

SEE ALSO'Bagyong Ofel' PAGASA weather update October 15, 2020

At 4:00 pm today, the center of TD 'Ofel' was estimated based on all available data at 125 km West of Juban, Sorsogon or 70 km East Northeast of Romblon, Romblon.

'Ofel' has maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 55 km/h. It is moving Westward at 15 km/h.

Forecast Positions
  • 24 Hour (Tomorrow afternoon): 235 km West of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro
  • 48 Hour (Friday afternoon):635 km West of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro
  • 72 Hour (Saturday afternoon): 1,110 km West of Southern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)


TCWS #1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
  • Batangas
  • southern portion of Laguna (Luisiana, Majayjay, Liliw, Nagcarlan, Rizal, San Pablo City, Calauan, Alaminos, Los Baños, Bay, Magdalena) central and southern portions of Quezon (Guinayangan, Tagkawayan, Buenavista, San Narciso, San Andres, Mulanay, San Francisco, Catanauan, Lopez, Calauag, Quezon, Alabat, Perez, Atimonan, Tayabas City, Mauban, Sampaloc, Lucban, Gumaca, General Luna, Macalelon, Pitogo, Unisan, Plaridel, Padre Burgos, Agdangan, Pagbilao, Lucena City, Sariaya, Candelaria, Dolores, Tiaong, San Antonio)
  • Calamian Islands
  • Occidental Mindoro
  • Oriental Mindoro
  • Marinduque
  • Romblon
  • Camarines Norte
  • Camarines Sur
  • Albay
  • Masbate (including Ticao and Burias Islands)

Bagyong Ofel Signal No.1

Track and intensity outlook

'Ofel' will move west-northwestward or westward over the inland seas of Southern Luzon and may pass close or over Romblon and Mindoro Provinces. It is likely to emerge over the West Philippine Sea tomorrow morning and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Friday morning or afternoon.

It is forecast to remain a tropical depression while crossing the Southern Luzon area. However, this weather disturbance is forecast to intensify into a tropical storm after emerging over the West Philippine Sea.

Bagyong Ofel track

Hazards affecting land areas: Rainfall

Today until tomorrow afternoon: 'Ofel' will bring moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over CALABARZON, Camarines Norte, Marinduque, Romblon, and Mindoro Provinces. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains will be experienced over Central Luzon, Visayas, Mindanao, Metro Manila, Palawan, Cagayan, Isabela, and the rest of Bicol Region due to TD and the Southwest Monsoon.

Flooding (including flashfloods) and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue local thunderstorm/rainfall advisories and heavy rainfall warnings as appropriate.

Hazards affecting land areas: Wind

Strong- to near gale-force winds will be experienced in areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #1 during the passage of the tropical depression.

Occasional gusts associated with the northeasterly surface wind flow enhanced by 'Ofel' and Tropical Storm 'Nangka' (outside PAR) may be experienced over Batanes, the northern and eastern portions of Cagayan (including Babuyan Islands), the northern portions of Apayao, Ilocos Norte, and Quezon, the eastern portion of Isabela, and Aurora, especially in coastal and mountainous areas.

Hazards affecting coastal waters

Gale Warning is in effect over the seaboards of Batanes and Ilocos Norte and the northern seaboard of Cagayan including Babuyan Islands due to rough seas (2.8 to 4.0 m) associated with the northeasterly surface wind flow. Sea travel is risky over these areas, especially for those using small seacrafts.

Moderate to rough seas (2.1 to 3.7 m) due to “OFEL” will be experienced over the eastern seaboards of Luzon and Visayas in the next 24 hours, especially in areas where TCWS#1 is in effect. Those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out to sea over these areas.

— The Summit Express

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