'Bagyong Julian' PAGASA weather update August 29, 2020

MANILA, Philippines –'Bagyong Julian' (international name: Maysak) continues to rapidly intensify while remaining almost stationary over the Philippine Sea, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 11:00 bulletin on Satuday, August 29, 2020.

'Bagyong Julian' PAGASA weather update August 29, 2020

At 10:00 am today, the center of Severe Tropical Storm 'Julian' was estimated based on all available data at 850 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan or 800 km East of Casiguran, Aurora.

READ'Bagyong Julian' PAGASA weather update August 30, 2020

'Bagyong Julian' has maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 125 km/h.

It is forecast to move slowly northward today, then gradually accelerate generally northward tomorrow (August 30) before turning northwestward on Monday (August 31).

On the forecast track, the tropical cyclone will remain over the Philippine Sea throughout the forecast period, far from the landmass. It is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Monday evening.

The weather system is undergoing a period of rapid intensification. It is forecast to reach typhoon category this afternoon or evening and may reach peak intensity by Monday.

Forecast Position
  • 24 Hour(Tomorrow morning): 890 km East of Calayan, Cagayan
  • 48 Hour(Monday morning):755 km East Northeast of Basco, Batanes
  • 72 Hour(Tuesday morning): 800 km North Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
  • 96 Hour(Wednesday morning):1,160 km North Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)

'Bagyong Julian' PAGASA weather update August 29, 2020

Hazards affecting land and coastal waters

No tropical cyclone wind signal (TCSWS) is currently in effect.

The raising of TCWS is unlikely throughout the forecast period. Furthermore, 'Julian' is less likely to directly cause high impact weather over the country.

The Southwest Monsoon is forecast to bring moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 3.4 m) over the seaboards of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Central Luzon. Those with small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea.

'Julian' is the country's 10th tropical cyclone for 2020 and 6th for August alone after Tropical Storms Enteng (Jangmi) and Igme (Bavi) and tropical depressions Ferdie, Gener, and Helen.

On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only have of those are projected to make landfall.

PAGASA declared the onset of rainy season on June 12.

— The Summit Express

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