'Bagyong Karen' weakens, new tropical storm 'Haima' to enter PAR Monday

MANILA, Philippines - 'Bagyong Karen' has weaken while crossing the rugged terrain of Central Luzon, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 8:00 a.m. bulletin on Sunday, October 16, 2016. It is expected to exit the landmass of the country via Pangasinan this morning.

Typhoon Karen and Lawin
Satellite image shows Typhoon Karen (about to exit Philippine landmass today) and new cyclone 'Haima' (Lawin) which is expected to enter PAR on Monday, October 17.
At 7:00 a.m. today, the eye of Typhoon Karen was located based on all available data at the vicinity of Binalonan, Pangasinan(16.1°N, 120.6°E).

It has maximum sustained winds of up to 130 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 220 kph and forecast to move West Northwest at 22 kph.

At 2:30 a.m. today, 'Karen' has made landfall over Baler, Aurora based from Tagaytay Doppler Radar.

Forecast Positions:

  • 24 Hour ( Tomorrow morning): 500 km West of Dagupan City, Pangasinan (16.7ºN, 115.7ºE) (OUTSIDE PAR)
  • 48 Hour (Tuesday morning): 1,030 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur(17.5ºN, 110.7ºE) (OUTSIDE PAR)
  • 72 Hour (Wednesday morning): 1,530 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (18.6ºN, 106.0ºE (OUTSIDE PAR)
  • 96 Hour (Thursday morning):1,955 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (20.0ºN, 102.0ºE) (OUTSIDE PAR)

track Typhoon Karen October 16, 2016

Signal No. 3 (121-170 kph Expected in 18 hours)

Luzon: Pangasinan, Northern Zambales, Tarlac, La Union and Benguet

Signal No. 2 (61-120 kph Expected in 24 hours)

Luzon: Nueva Ecija, Aurora, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Ilocos Sur, Mt Province, Ifugao, Rest of Zambales, Pampanga and Bataan

Signal No. 1 (30-60 kph Expected in 36 hours)

Luzon: Southern Isabela, Bulacan, Rizal, Metro Manila, Northern Quezon including Polilio island, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Kalinga, Southern Apayao, Cavite, Batangas and Laguna.

The estimated rainfall amount is from moderate to heavy within the 400 km diameter of the typhoon.

PAGASA advised of possible occurrence of storm surges along the coastal communities of areas with TCWS #3 and #2 and flashfloods and landslides over all areas with TCWSs.

Fisherfolks and those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out over the northern seaboard of Northern Luzon and over eastern and southern seaboards of Southern Luzon.

PAGASA is also monitoring of new weather disturbance, the Tropical Storm with international name 'Haima' (to be named Lawin locally) which was estimated at 1,490 km East of Mindanao (10.0°N, 139.8°E) as of 7:00 a.m. today. It is expected to enter the eastern boundary of the PAR by Monday.

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