Duterte overtakes Poe in new Pulse Asia survey, Marcos claims lead for VP

MANILA, Philippines - Davao City Mayor Rodrigo R. Duterte has overtaken consistent front-runner Senator Grace Poe in the new pre-electoral national survey conducted by Pulse Asia and commissioned by broadcast giant ABS-CBN.

Mayor Rodrigo Duterte (left) tops presidential race; Senator Bongbong Marcos takes lead for VP.
Mayor Rodrigo Duterte (left) tops presidential race; Senator Bongbong Marcos takes lead for VP.
Pulse Asia on Tuesday, April 12, said they used using face-to-face interviews to 4,000 registered voters during the survey fieldwork from March 29 – April 3. The research firm said the nationwide survey has a ± 1.5% error margin at the 95% confidence level.

If the May 2016 elections were held during the survey period, 30% of Filipino registered voters would elect Duterte as the country’s next president.

Poe has been relegated to second place (25%) while Vice-President Jejomar C. Binay and former Department of Interior and Local Government (DILG) Secretary Manuel A. Roxas II find themselves statistically tied for third place (20% and 19%, respectively).

Duterte leads presidential race

Only 2% of registered voters choose to support Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago’s presidential bid.

In terms of second-choice voter preference, Poe leads with 31%. Binay registers the second highest second- choice voter preference of 19%.

Pulse Asia said that almost two (2) out of every 10 registered voters with a first choice for president (17%) do not have an alternative candidate for the post. Senator Poe has the most to gain should Davao City Mayor Duterte not pursue his candidacy as 41% of his original voters name her as their alternative presidential candidate.

BBM leads vice presidential race

With 28% of registered voters naming him as their original candidate for vice-president, Senator Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. leads the vice-presidential race.

Sharing second place are Camarines Sur Representative Maria Leonor G. Robredo (22%) and Senator Francis Escudero (21%). Moreover, 15% support the candidacy of Senator Alan Peter Cayetano, 5% favor Senator Antonio Trillanes IV, and 4% back Senator Gregorio Honasan II. Only 5% of registered voters do not name a favored vice-presidential candidate.

BBM leads vice presidential race

12 probable winners in the May 2016 senatorial elections

Of the 50 senatorial candidates in the coming elections, 12 have a statistical chance of making it to the winners’ circle.

Among these probable winners, five (5) are running under the Liberal Party (LP), four (4) are independent candidates, and the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA), Nationalist People’s Coalition (NPC), and Akbayan all have a candidate each.

Leading the list of probable winners are Senator Vicente Sotto III (49.4%) and Senate President Franklin M. Drilon (48.9%), both of whom are ranked 1st to 2nd.

Among the other candidates with a statistical chance of winning are: (1) former Senator Francis N. Pangilinan (45.0%, 3rd to 4th places); (2) former Senator Panfilo M. Lacson (43.9%, 3rd to 4th places) and (3) former Senator Juan Miguel Zubiri (37.3%, 5th to 6th places).

Also included in the list are: (4) former Department of Justice (DOJ) Secretary Leila M. de Lima (36.5%, 5th to 9th places); (5) Senator Sergio Osmena III (34.1%, 6th to 12th places); (6) Senator Ralph Recto (34.0%, 6th to 12th places); (7) Sarangani Representative Emmanuel Pacquiao (33.6%, 6th to 12th places); (8) former Senator Richard Gordon (32.6%, 7th to 12th places); (9) former Technical Education and Skills Development Authority (TESDA) Director General Emmanuel Villanueva (32.3%, 7th to 12th places); and (10) former Akbayan Party List Representative Risa Hontiveros (32.1%, 7th to 12th places).

top 12 senators

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