MANILA, Philippines – Bagyong Pepito (international name: Man-yi) continues to threaten Bicol Region as it intensifies into a super typhoon, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 11:00 am update on Saturday, November 16, 2024.
At 10:00 am today, the center of the eye of Super Typhoon 'Pepito' was estimated based on all available data including from Guiuan, Laoang, Masbate, and Daet Weather Radars at 185 km East of Catarman, Northern Samar or 250 km East of Juban, Sorsogon.
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| Satellite image of Typhoon Pepito as of 11 am, November 16, 2024. Photo courtesy: DOST-PAGASA |
'Pepito' has maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 230 km/h, and central pressure of 925 hPa. It is moving west northwestward at 25 km/h.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
Signal No. 4 was hoisted over Catanduanes and the northeastern portion of Camarines Sur (Garchitorena, Presentacion, Caramoan, Lagonoy, San Jose).
Signal No. 3 was raised in the following areas:
Luzon
- the eastern portion of Camarines Norte (Vinzons, Talisay, Mercedes, Daet, Basud, San Vicente, San Lorenzo Ruiz)
- the northern and southeastern portion of Camarines Sur (Sagñay, Tigaon, Goa, Tinambac, Siruma, Buhi, Ocampo, Iriga City, Sipocot, Pili, Cabusao, Calabanga, Bombon, Magarao, Canaman, Naga City, Camaligan)
- the eastern portion of Albay (City of Tabaco, Malilipot, Tiwi, Malinao, Santo Domingo, Manito, Legazpi City, Bacacay, Rapu-Rapu)
- the northeastern portion of Sorsogon (Prieto Diaz, City of Sorsogon, Gubat)
Visayas
- the eastern portion of Northern Samar (Palapag, Laoang, Mapanas, Gamay, Lapinig, Catubig, Pambujan)
- the northern portion of Eastern Samar (San Policarpo, Arteche, Oras, Jipapad)
Signal No. 2 is up in the following areas:
Luzon
- the southeastern portion of Isabela (Dinapigue)
- Aurora
- Quezon
- the eastern portion of Rizal (Tanay, Pililla, Jala-Jala)
- Laguna
- the rest of Camarines Norte
- the rest of Camarines Sur
- the rest of Albay
- the rest of Sorsogon
- Burias Island
- Ticao Island
Visayas
- the central portion of Eastern Samar (Dolores, Maslog, Can-Avid, Taft, Sulat, San Julian, City of Borongan)
- the northern portion of Samar (Matuguinao, Calbayog City, Santa Margarita, San Jorge, San Jose de Buan, Tarangnan, Motiong, Gandara, Jiabong, City of Catbalogan, Paranas, Hinabangan, San Sebastian, Pagsanghan)
- the rest of Northern Samar
Signal No. 1 in the following areas:
Luzon
- mainland Cagayan
- the rest of Isabela
- Quirino
- Nueva Vizcaya
- Apayao
- Kalinga
- Abra
- Mountain Province
- Ifugao
- Benguet
- Ilocos Norte
- Ilocos Sur
- La Union
- Pangasinan
- Nueva Ecija
- Bulacan
- Tarlac
- Pampanga
- Zambales
- Bataan
- Metro Manila
- the rest of Rizal
- Cavite
- Batangas
- Marinduque
- the northern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Puerto Galera, San Teodoro, Naujan, Baco, Victoria, Socorro, Pinamalayan, Bansud, Gloria, Pola, City of Calapan)
- Romblon
- the rest of Masbate
Visayas
- the rest of Eastern Samar
- the rest of Samar
- Biliran
- the northern and central portions of Leyte (Tunga, Pastrana, San Miguel, Matag-Ob, Tolosa, Palo, Calubian, Leyte, Mayorga, Julita, Carigara, Babatngon, Dagami, Jaro, San Isidro, Santa Fe, Albuera, Villaba, La Paz, Palompon, Macarthur, Tabontabon, Tanauan, Merida, Ormoc City, Isabel, Dulag, Capoocan, Alangalang, Burauen, Tabango, Tacloban City, Kananga, Barugo, Abuyog, Javier, City of Baybay, Mahaplag)
- the northeastern portion of Southern Leyte (Silago)
- the northernmost portion of Cebu (Daanbantayan, Medellin) including Bantayan Islands
- the northernmost portion of Iloilo (Carles)
Mindanao
- the northern portion of Dinagat Islands (Loreto, Tubajon)
Note: The highest Wind Signal which may be hoisted during the occurrence of Pepito is Wind Signal No. 5.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
On the track forecast, Pepito is more likely to make landfall in the vicinity of Catanduanes tonight or tomorrow (November 17) early morning.
However, considering the limits of the forecast confidence cone, a landfall scenario over the eastern coast of Camarines Sur or Albay during the same time frame (if it moves slightly south of forecast track), or along the eastern coast of Quezon or Aurora tomorrow afternoon or evening remains (if it moves slightly north of forecast track) not ruled out.
Note: 'Pepito' will likely make landfall over Catanduanes as a super typhoon at or near peak intensity, and as a super typhoon or typhoon over the Quezon-Aurora area.
'Pepito' is expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR on Monday.
Regardless of the landfall point, the 'Pepito' will move generally west northwestward over the weekend and pass over or near the landmass of Bicol Region, Quezon, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Pangasinan, Benguet, and La Union before emerging over the West Philippine Sea tomorrow evening or Monday morning.
TROPICAL CYCLONES THIS YEAR
'Bagyong Ofel' is the Philippines' 15th tropical cyclone for 2024. It entered the PAR early Tuesday morning, November 12.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
READ: LIST: PAGASA releases Philippine Typhoon names in 2024
— The Summit Express
