MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Goring' (international name: Saola) became a super typhoon over the coastal waters of Palanan, Isabela, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am bulletin on Sunday, August 27, 2023.
The center of the eye of Super Typhoon 'Goring' was estimated based on all available data, including those from Baler and Daet Weather Radars, over the coastal waters of Palanan, Isabela.
'Bagyong Goring' has maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 230 km/h, and central pressure of 935 hPa. It is moving south southwestward slowly.
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 260 km from the center.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 3, storm-force winds
TCWS No. 2, gale-force winds
TCWS No. 1, strong winds
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
'Goring' is forecast to begin its loop over the Philippine Sea east of Cagayan-Isabela area today.
The super typhoon will then turn northeastward and northward on Monday before shifting to a more northwestward movement on Tuesday.
On the track forecast, it will make landfall over the southern portion of Taiwan on Wednesday evening or on Thursday early morning.
It is forecast to remain at super typhoon category until it makes landfall over southern Taiwan.
Land interaction with Taiwan’s rugged terrain will weaken the super typhoon. It is likely that 'Goring' will emerge over the Taiwan Strait and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) region as a severe tropical storm or a minimal typhoon.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall
Forecast accumulated rainfall for today
Forecast accumulated rainfall for tomorrow
Forecast accumulated rainfall for Tuesday
Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are possible especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.
The Southwest Monsoon enhanced by the super typhoon will bring occasional or monsoon rains over the western portions of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas over the next three days.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is in effect for the northern and eastern coastal waters of Luzon.
TROPICAL CYCLONES
'Bagyong Goring' is the seventh tropical cyclone for 2023. It developed from low pressure area (LPA) east of Cagayan on Thursday, August 24.
SEE ALSO: LIST: Typhoon, tropical cyclone names in the Philippines 2023
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
— The Summit Express
The center of the eye of Super Typhoon 'Goring' was estimated based on all available data, including those from Baler and Daet Weather Radars, over the coastal waters of Palanan, Isabela.
'Bagyong Goring' has maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 230 km/h, and central pressure of 935 hPa. It is moving south southwestward slowly.
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 260 km from the center.
 |
| Satellite image of 'Bagyong Goring' as of August 27, 2023. Photo courtesy of Japan Meteorological Agency |
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 3, storm-force winds
- the extreme eastern portion of Isabela (Divilacan, Palanan)
TCWS No. 2, gale-force winds
- the eastern portion of mainland Cagayan (Peñablanca, Baggao, Gattaran, Lal-Lo, Gonzaga, Santa Teresita, Buguey, Santa Ana)
- the eastern portion of Isabela (Dinapigue, Ilagan City, Maconacon, Cabagan, Tumauini, San Pablo, Benito Soliven, San Mariano)
- the extreme northern portion of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran)
TCWS No. 1, strong winds
- Babuyan Islands
- the rest of mainland Cagayan
- the rest of Isabela
- Quirino
- Nueva Vizcaya
- Apayao
- Kalinga
- Abra
- Mountain Province
- Ifugao
- the eastern portion of Benguet (Bokod, Buguias, Kabayan, Mankayan)
- the eastern portion of Ilocos Norte (Pagudpud, Adams, Vintar, Carasi, Nueva Era, Banna, Marcos, Dingras, Solsona, Piddig, Dumalneg, Bangui)
- the northeastern portion of Nueva Ecija (Carranglan, Pantabangan, Bongabon, Gabaldon, Laur, Rizal)
- the northern and central portions of Aurora (Dinalungan, Dipaculao, Baler, Maria Aurora, San Luis)
- Polillo Islands
- Calaguas Islands
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
'Goring' is forecast to begin its loop over the Philippine Sea east of Cagayan-Isabela area today.
The super typhoon will then turn northeastward and northward on Monday before shifting to a more northwestward movement on Tuesday.
On the track forecast, it will make landfall over the southern portion of Taiwan on Wednesday evening or on Thursday early morning.
It is forecast to remain at super typhoon category until it makes landfall over southern Taiwan.
Land interaction with Taiwan’s rugged terrain will weaken the super typhoon. It is likely that 'Goring' will emerge over the Taiwan Strait and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) region as a severe tropical storm or a minimal typhoon.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall
Forecast accumulated rainfall for today
- Greater than 200 mm: The extreme eastern portion of Isabela
- 100-200 mm: The eastern portions of mainland Cagayan and Isabela
- 50-100 mm: Ilocos Region, Apayao, Abra, Benguet, the northern portion of Aurora, the eastern portion of Nueva Vizcaya, and rest of mainland Cagayan and Isabela
Forecast accumulated rainfall for tomorrow
- 50-100 mm: The eastern portions of Babuyan Islands and mainland Cagayan
Forecast accumulated rainfall for Tuesday
- 100-200 mm: Batanes and the eastern portion of Babuyan Islands
- 50-100 mm: The rest of Babuyan Islands and the northern portion of mainland Cagayan
Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are possible especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.
The Southwest Monsoon enhanced by the super typhoon will bring occasional or monsoon rains over the western portions of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas over the next three days.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is in effect for the northern and eastern coastal waters of Luzon.
TROPICAL CYCLONES
'Bagyong Goring' is the seventh tropical cyclone for 2023. It developed from low pressure area (LPA) east of Cagayan on Thursday, August 24.
SEE ALSO: LIST: Typhoon, tropical cyclone names in the Philippines 2023
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
— The Summit Express
