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    'Bagyong Kiko' PAGASA weather update September 12, 2021

    MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Kiko' (international name: Chanthu) slightly weakens and now over the sea east of central Taiwan, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am update on Sunday, September 12, 2021.

    At 4:00 am today, the eye of Typhoon 'Kiko' was located based on all available data at 245 km North of Itbayat, Batanes.

    Satellite image of 'Bagyong Kiko' as of 5:00 am, September 12
    Satellite image of 'Bagyong Kiko' as of 5:00 am, September 12, 2021. Photo from PAGASA

    'Bagyong Kiko' has maximum sustained winds of 175 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 215 km/h, and central pressure of 940 hPa. It is moving Northward at 15 km/h. Strong winds or higher extend outwards up to 480 km from the center.

    TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS IN EFFECT

    TCWS No. 2 (Damaging gale-force to storm-force winds prevailing or expected within 24 hours)
    • The northern portion of Batanes (Itbayat)

    TCWS No. 1 (Strong winds prevailing or expected within 36 hours)
    • The northern portion of Babuyan Islands (Babuyan Is., Calayan Is., Panuitan Is.)
    • the rest of Batanes

    TCWS hoisted in other areas are hereby lifted.

    TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

    Typhoon 'Kiko' is forecast to move generally northward over the sea east of Taiwan and the East China Sea throughout the forecast period.

    'Bagyong Kiko' PAGASA track

    On the forecast track, the typhoon will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon or evening. Throughout the forecast period, further weakening will continue but 'Kiko' will remain within typhoon category.

    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

    Heavy Rainfall

    In the next 24 hours, Typhoon 'Kiko' will bring heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Batanes.

    Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains are also likely over Babuyan Islands. Under these conditions, scattered to widespread flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides are possible especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps.

    The typhoon will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon, bringing monsoon rains over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, and the western section of Central Luzon in the next 24 hours.

    Severe Winds

    Winds will continue to reach gale- to storm-force strength within any of the areas where TCWS No. 2 is in effect. This may result to light to moderate damage to structures and vegetation.

    Winds will continue to reach strong breeze to near gale strength (i.e., strong winds) within any of the areas where TCWS No. 1 is in effect. This may result to up to very light damage to structures and vegetation.

    In the next 24 hours, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will also bring occasional gusts reaching strong breeze to near gale strength over the coastal and upland/mountain areas of Northern Luzon that are not under wind signal, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA.

    Coastal Inundation

    Hazardous surf conditions associated with high waves reaching the coast may still cause flooding in some low-lying coastal localities of Batanes.

    HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

    In the next 24 hours, rough to high seas (2.5 to 6.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands. Sea travel is risky for all types of sea vessels over these waters. Mariners are advised to remain in port or take shelter in port until winds and waves subside.

    Due to the typhoon enhancing the Southwest Monsoon, Gale Warning is currently in effect for the northern and western seaboards of Luzon that are not under any wind signal and the eastern seaboard of Cagayan.

    TROPICAL CYCLONES

    'Kiko', the 11th tropical cyclone for 2021, enters PAR on Tuesday, September 7.

    PAGASA predicts that 2–3 tropical cyclones may enter/develop in the PAR this month.

    On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.

    The weather agency declared the onset of the rainy season on Friday, June 5.

    — The Summit Express

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