'Bagyong Crising' PAGASA weather update May 13, 2021

    MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Crising' accelerates as it continues to move west-northwestward towards Davao Oriental-Surigao del Sur area, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 2:00 pm update on Thursday, May 13, 2021.

    'Bagyong Crising' PAGASA weather update May 13, 2021
    Satellite image of Tropical Storm 'Crising' as of 1:40 pm, May 13, 2021 | via DOST-PAGASA

    On the forecast track, Tropical Storm 'Crising' is likely to make landfall over Davao Oriental-Surigao del Sur area between tonight and tomorrow early morning.

    SEE ALSO#WalangPasok: Class suspensions on May 14-15, 2021

    Slight intensification is likely and is forecast to remain tropical storm prior to landfall. Throughout tomorrow, 'Crising' is forecast to weaken into a tropical depression as it traverses the rugged landmass of Mindanao and will emerge over the Sulu Sea on Saturday (15 May) early morning.

    SEE ALSO: 'Bagyong Crising' PAGASA weather update May 14, 2021

    It is forecast to weaken into a remnant low on Sunday early morning while passing over Palawan and dissipate shortly afterwards.

    At 1:00 pm today, the center of Tropical Storm 'Crising' was estimated based on all available data at 250 km East of Davao City, Davao del Sur.

    It has maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 80 km/h.

    The storm is moving West Northwestward at 25 km/h.

    Forecast Positions
    • 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): In the vicinity of Loreto, Agusan del Sur
    • 48 Hour (Saturday morning):180 km West of Dumaguete City, Negros Oriental
    • 72 Hour (Sunday morning): 115 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan

    Bagyong Crising track


    Signal No. 2

    • The southern portion of Surigao del Sur (Lingig, City of Bislig)
    • the southern portion of Agusan del Sur (Loreto, Trento, Bunawan, Santa Josefa, Veruela)
    • the northern portion of Davao Oriental (Boston, Cateel, Baganga)
    • the northern portion of Davao de Oro (Laak, Monkayo, Montevista, Compostela, New Bataan, Nabunturan,Mawab)
    • the northern portion of Davao del Norte (Kapalong, San Isidro, Asuncion, New Corella, Talaingod)

    Signal No. 1

    • The rest of Surigao del Sur
    • the rest of Agusan del Sur
    • Agusan del Norte
    • the rest of Davao Oriental
    • the rest of Davao de Oro
    • the rest of Davao del Norte
    • Davao City, Bukidnon
    • Lanao del Sur
    • Lanao del Norte
    • Misamis Occidental
    • Misamis Oriental
    • Camiguin
    • the eastern portion of Zamboanga del Sur (Josefina, Molave, Tambulig, Aurora)

    Bagyong Crising signal

    Hazards affecting land areas

    Heavy Rainfall

    Between today and tomorrow (May 14) morning, moderate to heavy rains over Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Sur, Davao Oriental, Davao de Oro, and Davao del Norte.

    Under these conditions, isolated to scattered flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides are possible during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as identified in hazard maps. Adjacent or nearby areas may also experience flooding in the absence of such rainfall occurrence due to surface runoff or swelling of river channels.

    Severe Winds

    'Bagyong Crising' will bring gale-force winds in localities under TCWS No. 2 and strong breeze to near gale conditions over the localities where Signal No. 1 is in effect, especially in the coastal and mountainous areas of these localities.

    Hazards affecting coastal waters

    In the next 24 hours, under the influence of Tropical Storm, moderate to rough seas will be experienced over the eastern seaboard of Mindanao (1.2 to 3.0 m).

    Mariners of small seacrafts are advised not to venture out over these waters. Inexperienced mariners of these vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

    'Crising', the third tropical cyclone for 2021, developed into a tropical depression at 2 am on Thursday, May 13.

    PAGASA predicts that 1–4 tropical cyclones are expected to form between April and June.

    On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.

    — The Summit Express

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