Typhoon 'Ulysses' endangers Quezon province – PAGASA

MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Ulysses' (Vamco) maintains its strength as it endangers Quezon Province, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 8:00 am bulletin on Wednesday, November 11, 2020.

Typhoon 'Ulysses' endangers Quezon province
Satellite image of Tropical Storm Ulysses as of 7:40 pm, November 11, 2020. PAGASA

The center of Typhoon 'Ulysses' made a close approach in the vicinity of Calaguas Islands at 6:30 pm tonight. It is forecast to make landfall over Polillo Islands between 10:00 pm tonight and 12:00 am tomorrow and over the northern portion of mainland Quezon between 1:00 am to 3:00 am tomorrow.

Afterwards, 'Ulysses' will cross Central Luzon and emerge over the western seaboard of Zambales tomorrow morning.

SEE ALSO: #WalangPasok: Class, work suspensions on November 12, 2020

'Ulysses' may reach its peak intensity of 140-155 km/h prior to landfall. It may slightly weaken as it crosses mainland Luzon due to frictional effects in the presence of the Sierra Madre and Zambales Mountain Ranges. However, it is likely to remain a typhoon throughout its traverse.

NOTE: Destructive winds and intense with at times torrential rainfall associated with the region of the eyewall and inner rainbands of the typhoon will be experienced over the northern portion of Camarines Norte until tonight and over Aurora and the northern portion of Quezon tonight through tomorrow early morning.

At 7:00 pm today, the eye of Typhoon 'Ulysses' was located based on all available data at 65 km North of Daet, Camarines Norte.

'Ulysses' has maximum sustained winds of 140 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 195 km/h. It is moving West Southwestward at 15 km/h.

Forecast Positions
  • 24 Hour (Tomorrow afternoon): 190 km West of Iba, Zambales
  • 48 Hour (Friday afternoon):620 km West of Iba, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)
  • 72 Hour (Saturday afternoon): 1,060 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)

Typhoon 'Ulysses' endangers Quezon province


TCWS No. 3 (121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)

  • the southern portion of Quirino (Maddela, Nagtipunan)
  • the southern portion of Nueva Vizcaya (Alfonso Castaneda, Dupax Del Norte, Dupax Del Sur)
  • Pangasinan
  • Nueva Ecija
  • Aurora
  • Tarlac
  • Zambales
  • Bataan
  • Pampanga
  • Bulacan
  • Metro Manila
  • Rizal
  • Cavite
  • Laguna
  • the northern and central portions of Quezon (General Nakar, Infanta, Real, Mauban, Sampaloc, Lucban, Tayabas City, Sariaya, Candelaria, Dolores, Tiaong, San Antonio, Lucena City, Pagbilao, Atimonan, Padre Burgos, Unisan, Agdangan, Gumaca, Plaridel, Pitogo, Macalelon, Lopez, General Luna, Catanauan, Buenavista, Guinayangan, Tagkawayan, Calauag, Quezon, Alabat, Perez) including Polillo Islands
  • Batangas
  • Catanduanes
  • Camarines Norte
  • the northern portion of Camarines Sur (Del Gallego, Ragay, Lupi, Sipocot, Cabusao, Bombon, Calabanga, Tinambac, Siruma, Goa, Lagonoy, San Jose, Garchitorena, Presentacion, Caramoan)

TCWS No. 2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)

  • the rest of Quirino
  • the rest of Nueva Vizcaya
  • the southern portion of Benguet (Bokod, Itogon, Tublay, La Trinidad, Sablan, Baguio City, Tuba)
  • the southern portion of La Union (Burgos, Naguilian, Bauang, Caba, Aringay, Tubao, Pugo, Santo Tomas, Rosario, Agoo)
  • the rest of Quezon
  • Marinduque
  • the northern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Paluan, Abra de Ilog) including Lubang Island
  • the northern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Pola, Victoria, Naujan, Baco, Calapan City, San Teodoro, Puerto Galera)
  • the rest of Camarines Sur
  • Albay
  • Sorsogon
  • Burias and Ticao Islands

TCWS No. 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)

  • Isabela
  • Kalinga
  • Mountain Province
  • Ifugao
  • the rest of Benguet
  • Abra
  • Ilocos Sur
  • the rest of La Union
  • the rest of Occidental Mindoro
  • the rest of Oriental Mindoro
  • Romblon
  • the rest of Masbate

  • Northern Samar
  • the northern portion of Samar (Santo Nino, Almagro, Tagapul-An, Tarangnan, Calbayog City, Santa Margarita, Gandara, Pagsanghan, San Jorge, San Jose de Buan, Matuguinao)
  • the northern portion of Eastern Samar (Maslog, Dolores, Oras, San Policarpo, Arteche, Jipapad)

Typhoon 'Ulysses' endangers Quezon province

Hazards affecting land areas

Strong winds: Throughout the passage of the typhoon, destructive typhoon-force winds will be experiencing in areas under TCWS #3, damaging gale- to storm-force winds in areas under TCWS #2, and strong breeze to near gale conditions in areas under TCWS #1.

In other areas, the rest of Northern Luzon will be experiencing strong breeze to gale-force winds due to the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.

Heavy rainfall

Between tonight and tomorrow early morning, heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Aurora, Bulacan, Pampanga, and Bataan.

Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Cordillera Administrative Region, mainland Cagayan Valley, Catanduanes, Marinduque, the northern portion of Mindoro Provinces, and the rest of Central Luzon. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over the rest of Luzon and Visayas.

Between tomorrow morning and tomorrow afternoon, heavy to intense rains with at times over mainland Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, and the northern portion of Mindoro Provinces. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Western Visayas and the rest of Luzon.

Flooding (including flashfloods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and/or those that received significant antecedent rainfall.

Storm surge: There is a high risk of storm surge with heights of
  • up to 3.0 m over the coastal areas of Aurora, Quezon including Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, Catanduanes, and the northern and eastern coastal areas of Camarines Sur
  • up to 2.0 m over the coastal areas of La Union, Pangasinan, Isabela, Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Cavite, Batangas, northern portions of Mindoro Provinces including Lubang Island, Marinduque, Romblon, Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands, Albay, and Sorsogon, and the remaining coastal areas of Camarines Sur.

These storm surges, which may be accompanied by swells and/or breaking waves near the coast, can cause life-threatening and damaging coastal inundation. Moreover, there is also a moderate risk of seiche or storm surge over the coastal areas surrounding Laguna de Bay.

Hazards affecting coastal waters

Within the next 24 hours, rough to very high seas (2.5 to 10.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboards of areas under TCWS and the eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar currently not under TCWS #1.

The surge of the Northeast Monsoon will also bring rough to high seas (3.0 to 6.0 m) over the remaining seaboards of Northern Luzon and rough seas (2.5 to 3.5 m) over the seaboards of Kalayaan Islands. Sea travel is risky for all types of seacrafts over these waters.

Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 2.5 m) will be experienced over the western seaboards of Palawan including Calamian Islands, and the eastern seaboards of Mindanao. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.

'Bagyong Ulysses' is the Philippines' 21st tropical cyclone for 2020 and third for November.

The weather bureau advised of more cyclones that could enter PAR until December.

PAGASA declared the onset of rainy season on June 12.

— The Summit Express

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