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    'Bagyong Carina' PAGASA weather update July 13, 2020

    MANILA, Philippines – Tropical Depression 'Carina' turned to the northwest as it continues to approach extreme Northern Luzon, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 11:00 am bulletin on Monday, July 13.

    SEE ALSO'Bagyong Carina' PAGASA weather update July 14, 2020

    "The center of Tropical Depression is forecast move northwestward towards the Luzon Strait, passing roughly 100 km off the northeastern tip of Luzon and near Babuyan Islands and Batanes. However, accounting for the forecast track probability cone, a landfall scenario over these areas remains a possibility," PAGASA said.

    Tropical Depression Carina satellite image as of 11:00 am, July 13, 2020.
    Tropical Depression Carina satellite image as of 11:00 am, July 13, 2020. Photo Credit: PAGASA

    At 10:00 a.m. today, the center of 'Bagyong Carina' was estimated based on all available data at 245 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan.

    'Carina' has maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 55 km/h. It is moving Northwestward at 15 km/h.

    This tropical depression is forecast to weaken into a Low Pressure Area on Wednesday.

    Forecast Positions
    • 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 20 km South Southwest of Basco, Batanes
    • 48 Hour (Wednesday morning):420 km North of Basco, Batanes


    TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

    Signal No. 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
    • Batanes
    • Babuyan Islands
    • northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana, Gonzaga, Santa Teresita, Buguey, eastern Lal-lo, eastern Gattaran, and eastern Baggao)

    Impact
    • Very light or no damage to low risk structures
    • Light damage to medium to high risk structures
    • Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
    • Twigs of small trees may be broken
    • Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.

    Strong Winds

    The areas under Signal No. 1 may experience occasional gusts due to the Tropical Depression.

    Coastal Water Conditions

    Moderate to rough seas (1.2-3.1 m) will be experienced over the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon in the next 24 hours.

    Those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out to sea.

    Heavy Rainfall Outlook

    Today: Moderate to heavy rains is expected over Cagayan including Babuyan Islands and Isabela. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, the rest of Cagayan Valley, Aurora, and the northern portion of Quezon including Polillo Islands. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms over Metro Manila, the rest of Central Luzon, the rest of CALABARZON, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, and Camarines Norte.

    Flooding and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards. The public and disaster risk reduction and management offices are advised to take appropriate measures and monitor the Rainfall or Thunderstorm Advisories or Heavy Rainfall Warnings of PAGASA Regional Services Divisions.

    — The Summit Express

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