'Bagyong Ursula' PAGASA weather update December 24, 2019

MANILA, Philippines – Severe Tropical Storm 'Ursula' (international name: Phanfone) continues to intensify as it moves closer to Eastern Visayas, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 8:00 am update on Christmas Eve, December 24, 2019.

Satellite image of Severe Tropical Storm 'Ursula'
Satellite image of Severe Tropical Storm 'Ursula' | via DOST-PAGASA

At 7:00 am today, the center of 'Bagyong Ursula' was estimated based on all available data including Guiuan Doppler Radar at 250 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar.

'Ursula' has maximum sustained winds of up to 100 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 125 km/h. It is moving West at 30 km/h.

Forecast Positions

  • 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): In the vicinity of Balud, Masbate
  • 48 Hour (Thursday morning): 225 km Northwest of Coron, Palawan
  • 72 Hour (Friday morning): 415 km West of Subic, Zambales
  • 96 Hour (Saturday morning): 580 km West of Subic, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)
  • 120 Hour (Sunday morning): 870 km West of Subic, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)

Latest track of Severe Tropical Storm 'Ursula'
Latest track of Severe Tropical Storm 'Ursula' | via DOST-PAGASA


TCWS No. 2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours):

  • Romblon
  • Albay
  • Sorsogon
  • Masbate including Burias and Ticao Islands
  • Northern Samar
  • Eastern Samar
  • Samar
  • Leyte
  • Biliran
  • extreme northern Cebu including Bantayan and Camotes Islands (Bantayan, Madridejos, Santa Fe, Daanbantayan, Medellin, San Remigio, Bogo City, Tabogon, Tabuelan, Borbon, San Francisco, Poro, Tudela, Pilar)
  • northeastern Iloilo (Carles, Balasan, Estancia, Batad, San Dionisio, Sara, Concepcion, Lemery, Ajuy)
  • northern Antique (Libertad, Pandan, Sebaste, Culasi, Tibiao)
  • Capiz
  • Aklan

TCWS No. 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)

  • Bulacan
  • Bataan
  • Metro Manila
  • Rizal
  • Cavite
  • Quezon
  • Laguna
  • Batangas
  • Camarines Sur
  • Camarines Norte
  • Catanduanes
  • Marinduque
  • Romblon
  • Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island
  • Oriental Mindoro
  • Calamian Islands and Cuyo Islands
  • Southern Leyte
  • the rest of northern Cebu (Carmen, Asturias, Tuburan, Catmon, Sogod)
  • Central Cebu (Aloguinsan, Carcar City, Pinamungahan, San Fernando, Naga City, Toledo City, Minglanilla, Balamban, Talisay City, Cebu City, Cordova, Lapu-Lapu City, Mandaue City, Consolacion, Liloan, Compostela, Danao City)
  • northeastern Bohol (Inabanga, Danao, Dagohoy, Pilar, Guindulman, Anda, Candijay, Alicia, Buenavista, Jetafe, Talibon, Trinidad, Bien Unido, San Miguel, Ubay, Mabini, Pres. Carlos P. Garcia)
  • the rest of Antique
  • the rest of Iloilo
  • Guimaras
  • northern Negros Occidental (Bacolod City, Bago City, Cadiz City, Calatrava, Enrique B. Magalona, Escalante City, La Carlota City, La Castellana, Manapla, Moises Padilla, Binalbagan, Hinigaran, Isabela, Murcia, Pontevedra, Pulupandan, Sagay City, Salvador Benedicto, San Carlos City, San Enrique, Silay City, Talisay City, Toboso, Valladolid, Victorias City)
  • northern Negros Oriental (Canlaon City, Guihulngan City, Jimalalud, La Libertad, Vallehermoso)
  • Dinagat Islands
  • Surigao del Norte including Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands

More areas placed under Signal No. 2 as 'Ursula' nears landfall
More areas placed under Signal No. 2 as 'Ursula' nears landfall | via DOST-PAGASA

'Ursula' is forecast make to landfall over Eastern Samar this afternoon or evening as a Severe Tropical Storm or Typhoon. As such, there remains a possibility that portions of Eastern Visayas will be placed under TCWS No. 3.

Suspension of maritime activities may be experienced in areas where TCWS is in effect.

Rough sea conditions will prevail starting today over the eastern seaboards of the country; this afternoon or tonight over the inland waters of Southern Luzon and Visayas; tomorrow afternoon over the western seaboards of Southern Luzon. Sea travel is risky over these areas.

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Between today and tomorrow noon: Occasional to frequent heavy rains over Dinagat Islands, Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands, Eastern Visayas, Sorsogon, Masbate, northern and central Cebu, northern Negros Provinces, Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Iloilo, Guimaras and Romblon. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over the rest of Bicol Region, Quezon, Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, and the rest of Visayas and Surigao del Norte.

Between tomorrow noon and late evening: Occasional to frequent heavy rains over Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Romblon, Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Batangas, and Calamian Islands. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over Cuyo Islands, Negros Provinces, Iloilo, Guimaras, Aurora, and the rest of CALABARZON.

Tropical Cyclone Winds

Moderate to strong winds to begin affecting Northeastern Mindanao and Eastern Visayas today; Bicol Region and portions of Central Visayas this afternoon or tonight; CALABARZON, and portions of MIMAROPA and Western Visayas tomorrow morning; Metro Manila, Bulacan, and Bataan tomorrow morning or afternoon. Medium to high-risk structures may experience light damage.

Damaging gale to storm-force winds to begin affecting areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) No. 2 in Eastern Visayas this afternoon; in Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, Romblon, Aklan, Capiz and portions of Antique, Iloilo, and northern Cebu tonight. This may bring light to moderate damage to high-risk structures and at most light damage to medium-risk structures.

— The Summit Express

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