'Bagyong Sarah' PAGASA weather update November 21, 2019

MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Sarah' (international name: Fung-Wong) has intensified into a severe tropical storm, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am bulletin on Thursday, November 21, 2019.

Satellite image of Severe Tropical Storm Sarah.
Satellite image of Severe Tropical Storm Sarah. Photo courtesy of DOST-PAGASA

At 4:00 AM today, the center of Severe Tropical Storm 'Sarah' was estimated based on all available data at 425 km East Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan or 340 km East of Basco, Batanes.

TS 'Sarah' has maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 115 km/h. It is moving North Northwest at 25 km/h.

Forecast Positions

  • 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 205 km Northeast of Basco, Batanes
  • 48 Hour (Saturday morning): 400 km North Northeast of Basco, Batanes
  • 72 Hour (Sunday morning): 925 km North Northeast of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)

'Bagyong Sarah' is forecast to gradually weaken tomorrow or on Saturday. It is also forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Saturday.

Track of  Severe Tropical Storm Sarah as of November 21, 2019
Track of  Severe Tropical Storm Sarah as of November 21, 2019. Photo courtesy of DOST-PAGASA

Tropical cyclone wind signal (TCWS) No. 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours) was raised over the areas of Batanes and Babuyan Islands.

The TCWS over mainland Cagayan is now lifted. If these changes continue, there is a possibility that the TCWS over Batanes and Babuyan Islands will be lifted in the succeeding bulletins. However, gusty conditions will prevail over the northern and western sections of Northern Luzon, especially in the coastal and mountainous areas due to the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.

Meanwhile, the remnant Low Pressure Area (LPA) of Tropical Depression 'Ramon' was estimated based on all available data at 110 km West of Subic, Zambales.

Rainfall outlook for today: Light to moderate rains with some isolated heavy rainshowers over Isabela, Cagayan (especially on the eastern section), Aurora, northern Quezon, Metro Manila, and most of Central Luzon due to the remnant LPA and the trough of Severe Tropical Storm 'Sarah'.

Residents in the aforementioned areas are advised to continue monitoring for updates, especially the Thunderstorm or Rainfall Advisories and Heavy Rainfall Warnings to be issued by PAGASA Regional Services Divisions.

Sea travel is risky, especially for small sea crafts, over the seaboards of areas under TCWS, seaboards of Northern and Central Luzon, and the western seaboard of Southern Luzon due to prevailing or forecast rough sea conditions caused by 'Sarah' and the Northeast Monsoon.

— The Summit Express

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