Typhoon Karen PAGASA weather update October 15, 2016

MANILA, Philippines - 'Bagyong Karen' (Sarika) has passed north of Catanduanes and is now moving towards Aurora - Quezon area, the state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 11:00 a.m. bulletin on Saturday, October 15, 2016.

Typhoon Karen satellite image courtesy of JTWC.
Typhoon Karen (Sarika) satellite image courtesy of JTWC.
At 10:00 a.m. today, the eye of Typhoon Karen was located based on all available data at 95 km North Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes(14.4°N, 124.4°E). It has maximum sustained winds of up to 130 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 180 kph.

'Bagyong Karen' weakens, new tropical storm 'Haima' to enter PAR Monday

'Karen' is forecast to move West Northwest at 17 kph.

Forecast Positions:
  • 24 Hour( Tomorrow morning): Vicinity of Cabanatuan City, Nueva Ecija
  • 48 Hour(Monday morning):455 km West Northwest of Iba, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)
  • 72 Hour(Tuesday morning): 785 km North Northwest of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)
  • 96 Hour(Wednesday morning):1,155 km Northwest of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)

Typhoon Karen track

PAGASA raised tropical cyclone warning signal no. 3 (121-170 kph expected in 18 hours) over the areas of Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, Northern Quezon incuding Polilio Island and Aurora. Storm surge possible at coastal areas.

Signal No. 2 (61-120 kph expected in 24 hours) up in the rest of Quezon, Camarines Sur, Albay, Rizal, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Quirino, Zambales, Tarlac, Pangasinan, Nueva Vizcaya, La Union and Benguet.

Signal No. 1 (30-60 kph expected in 36 hours) declared in the following areas: Sorsogon, Masbate icluding Ticao and Burias Island, Isabela, Romblon, Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, Batangas, Laguna, Cavite, Metro Manila, Pampanga, Bataan, and Ifugao and Northern Samar.

Estimated rainfall amount is from moderate to heavy within the 500 km diameter of the typhoon.

Possible occurrence of storm surges along the coastal communities of areas with TCWS #3 and #2 and flashfloods and landslides over all areas with warning signal.

'Karen' is expected to make landfall over the Quezon-Aurora area tomorrow early morning (October 16).

Fisherfolks and those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out over the seaboard of Eastern Samar.

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