PAGASA: 'Bagyong Kabayan' intensifies, threatens Central Luzon

MANILA, Philippines - State weather bureau PAGASA announced on its weather bulletin Thursday night, October 1, 2015 that 'Bagyong Kabayan' (international name TwentyTwo) has intensified into tropical storm as it threatens Central Luzon.

At 10:00 PM Thursday, the center of Tropical Storm Kabayan was estimated based on Baler Doppler radar and all available data at 170 km North Northeast of Daet, Camarines Norte or at 85 km East Southeast of Baler, Aurora (15.5°N, 122.3°E).

'Bayong Kabayan' has maximum sustained winds of 65 kph near the center, gustiness of up to 80 kph and forecast to move West Northwest at 20 kph.

The estimated rainfall amount is from moderate to heavy within the 300 km diameter of the tropical storm.

It is expected to make landfall over Aurora province tomorrow early morning (2-4AM).

Forecast Positions:
  • 24 hour (Tomorrow evening): 250 km West Southwest of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
  • 48 hour (Saturday evening): 770 km West of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte or outside the PAR.
  • 72 hour (Sunday evening): (Outside PAR) 1440 km West of Basco, Batanes
track bagyong kabayan

Public Storm Warning Signal No. 02 (61-120kph Expected in 24 hrs.): Aurora, Northern Quezon incl. Polillo Island, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, La Union, Pangasinan, Tarlac and Nueva Ecija

Impacts of the wind
  • Light to Moderate damage to high risk structures;
  • Very light to light damage to medium-risk structures;
  • No damage to very light damage to low risk structures
  • Unshielded, old dilapidated schoolhouses, makeshift shanties, and other structures of light materials are partially damaged or unroofed.
  • A number of nipa and cogon houses may be partially or totally unroofed.
  • Some old galvanized iron (G.I.) roofs may be peeled or blown off.
  • Some wooden, old electric posts are tilted or downed.
  • Some damage to poorly constructed signs/billboards
  • In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the exposed communities. Most banana plants, a few mango trees, ipil-ipil and similar types of trees are downed or broken
  • Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken
  • Rice and corn may be adversely affected
  • Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some heavy-foliaged trees blown down.
  • Wave Height (Open Sea): 4.1-14.0m

Public Storm Warning Signal No. 01 (30-60kph Expected in 36 hrs.): Isabela, Ifugao, Mt. Province,Kalinga, Abra, Ilocos Sur, Zambales, Pampanga, Bataan, Bulacan, Rizal, Rest of Quezon, Camarines Norte and Metro Manila

Impacts of the wind:
  • Very light or no damage to low risk structures,
  • Light damage to medium to high risk structures
  • Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
  • Twigs of small trees may be broken.
  • Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
  • Wave Height (Open Sea): 1.25-4.0 meters

Moderate to occasionally heavy rains and isolated thunderstorms will be experienced over MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas and the provinces of Cavite, Laguna and Batangas.

Residents in low lying and mountainous areas of the provinces with PSWS#1 & #2 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.

Sea travel is risky over the eastern seaboard of Northern and Central Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Quezon including Polillo Island.

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